The Fast and Frugal Tree: Making Decisions in the world of Uncertainty

The fast and frugal tree (FFT) was an idea that I was first introduced to from Gerd Gigerenzer in his fabulous book Gut Feelings.  The book outlines key concepts in bettering our decision making in times of uncertainty.  Physiology, scoreboard success in team sport and phycology live in this unique world.   So too, the world of injury and return from injury.  Gerd states:  “In an uncertain world, a complex strategy can fail exactly because it explains too much in hindsight.”  Heuristics, coupled with deep contextual understanding, and objective information steer the ship.

Below is a presentation that I gave as part of the Altis Mentorship Phase III Mastery with Coach Dan Pfaff (highly recommend) outlining the potential use of Frugal trees in steering return to play decisions.  More information can be found in the High Performance Hockey Masterclass resource.